Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Backlund 50.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 58.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lundell 53.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Lundell
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lundell
Backlund
Last 7: Lundell 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Lundell
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
51.9% (1,083)
-7.1%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
51.7% (120)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
44.3% (183)
+7.8%
On power play, Lundell has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Lundell
Backlund
Home
45.5% (319)
51.9% (673)
Away
47.7% (260)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Lundell
Backlund
P1
50.8%
51.4%
P2
46.5%
50.5%
P3
41.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |