Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 51.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lundell
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lundell
Backlund
Last 10: Lundell 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Lundell
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Lundell
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
50.4% (1,032)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
52.3% (107)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
40.6% (313)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Lundell
Backlund
Home
51.2% (527)
48.7% (749)
Away
54.8% (496)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Lundell
Backlund
P1
53.7%
50.4%
P2
51.7%
50.1%
P3
54.1%
45.8%
OT
20.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |