Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.4%). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 52.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lundell
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lundell
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
45.8% (755)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
48.3% (60)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
27.6% (29)
+4.6%
On power play, Lundell has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Lundell
MacKinnon
Home
46.3% (434)
49.5% (396)
Away
42.4% (314)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Lundell
MacKinnon
P1
46.6%
50.2%
P2
39.9%
43.8%
P3
47.1%
41.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |