Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 65.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lundell
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Lundell
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
10
Lundell
MacKinnon
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
8
Lundell
MacKinnon
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
46.1% (11,218)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
42.8% (502)
+2.0%
On even strength, Lundell has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Lundell
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (2,304)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lundell
MacKinnon
P1
52.0%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
49.0%
46.1%
OT
48.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |