Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Lundell
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundell
MacKinnon
Last 5: Lundell 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lundell
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
45.5% (1,190)
+8.8%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
56.4% (94)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
40.0% (30)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundell is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Lundell shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Lundell
MacKinnon
Home
57.3% (450)
47.8% (670)
Away
52.3% (428)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Lundell
MacKinnon
P1
54.3%
45.3%
P2
58.2%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |