Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Larkin 52.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 57.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 72.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 66.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Kopitar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kopitar
Larkin
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
51.8% (903)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
56.0% (225)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
47.4% (76)
-0.5%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larkin
Home
57.2% (778)
55.6% (662)
Away
56.5% (731)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Kopitar
Larkin
P1
56.3%
49.9%
P2
57.1%
52.7%
P3
57.0%
53.0%
OT
59.5%
68.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |