Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Larkin 54.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 55.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Kopitar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Kopitar
Larkin
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
4
Kopitar
Larkin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Kopitar
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
52.6% (1,117)
+4.3%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
60.7% (305)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
55.9% (177)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larkin
Home
58.4% (774)
54.7% (783)
Away
56.0% (763)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Kopitar
Larkin
P1
59.4%
55.9%
P2
56.8%
56.1%
P3
55.9%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |