Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Larkin 54.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kopitar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Kopitar
Larkin
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
6
Kopitar
Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
4
Kopitar
Larkin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
53.6% (886)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
59.3% (317)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
48.7% (152)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larkin
Home
56.3% (783)
56.6% (700)
Away
55.5% (825)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Kopitar
Larkin
P1
57.9%
55.4%
P2
54.5%
54.7%
P3
55.2%
52.7%
OT
57.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |