Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Kopitar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Stenlund
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Kopitar
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
54.4% (592)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
42.9% (14)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
44.1% (229)
+1.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stenlund
Home
56.1% (786)
50.7% (402)
Away
54.0% (774)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Kopitar
Stenlund
P1
56.2%
56.5%
P2
55.4%
52.4%
P3
53.0%
45.2%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |