Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Stenlund 54.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 76.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Kopitar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kopitar
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Kopitar
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
56.1% (615)
-1.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
53.2% (47)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
52.1% (307)
-1.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stenlund
Home
56.8% (533)
57.0% (458)
Away
55.3% (535)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Kopitar
Stenlund
P1
55.9%
55.1%
P2
57.1%
53.3%
P3
55.4%
56.4%
OT
55.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |