Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 79.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kopitar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kopitar
Stenlund
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
10
Kopitar
Stenlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
58.6% (797)
-1.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
62.5% (24)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
60.5% (233)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stenlund
Home
58.4% (774)
58.6% (548)
Away
56.0% (763)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Kopitar
Stenlund
P1
59.4%
60.2%
P2
56.8%
59.1%
P3
55.9%
58.3%
OT
45.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |