Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs Duchene 61.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 75.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 68.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Kopitar
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
6
Kopitar
Duchene
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
62.2% (802)
-9.2%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
67.3% (153)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
59.4% (143)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,073).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
55.7% (853)
66.5% (555)
Away
49.6% (840)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
50.2%
63.2%
P2
54.7%
59.6%
P3
52.7%
65.0%
OT
56.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |