Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 80.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 86.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 83.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 9: Kopitar 7-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
53.0% (723)
+3.9%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
49.5% (101)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
43.8% (16)
+0.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
58.4% (774)
54.9% (408)
Away
56.0% (763)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
59.4%
52.5%
P2
56.8%
51.7%
P3
55.9%
53.6%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |