Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 94.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 77.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 6: Kopitar 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
53.9% (193)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
49.2% (65)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
100.0% (1)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
56.3% (783)
54.9% (113)
Away
55.5% (825)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
57.9%
54.9%
P2
54.5%
52.7%
P3
55.2%
51.9%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |