Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Duchene 55.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 58.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Kopitar
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
56.5% (566)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
61.3% (62)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
22.2% (9)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
56.1% (786)
56.6% (318)
Away
54.0% (774)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
56.2%
57.2%
P2
55.4%
55.1%
P3
53.0%
55.6%
OT
70.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |