Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 56.1%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Duchene 55.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 56.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 9: Kopitar 6-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Kopitar
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (1,009)
56.0% (579)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.3% (229)
59.3% (108)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
25.0% (8)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
55.9% (680)
54.9% (375)
Away
54.5% (727)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
55.4%
58.3%
P2
52.9%
56.7%
P3
56.7%
53.1%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |