Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 61.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Kopitar
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Kopitar
Stamkos
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kopitar
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Kopitar
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
49.3% (789)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
56.9% (181)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
54.1% (98)
-7.2%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stamkos
Home
57.2% (778)
52.0% (512)
Away
56.5% (731)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Kopitar
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
42.1%
P2
57.1%
56.4%
P3
57.0%
53.7%
OT
59.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |