Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 58.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Kopitar
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Stamkos
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Kopitar
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
49.3% (670)
+7.6%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
53.7% (121)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
33.3% (3)
+10.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stamkos
Home
58.4% (774)
54.0% (400)
Away
56.0% (763)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Kopitar
Stamkos
P1
59.4%
48.6%
P2
56.8%
54.5%
P3
55.9%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |