Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 56.0%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kopitar
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Kopitar
Stamkos
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Kopitar
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
55.9% (499)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
56.3% (126)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
58.3% (12)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stamkos
Home
56.1% (786)
55.3% (349)
Away
54.0% (774)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Kopitar
Stamkos
P1
56.2%
57.0%
P2
55.4%
59.2%
P3
53.0%
51.5%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |