Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Kopitar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kopitar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kopitar
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
58.5% (135)
-3.6%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
80.0% (5)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
44.4% (18)
+6.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Karlsson
Home
56.8% (533)
63.7% (91)
Away
55.3% (535)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kopitar
Karlsson
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
57.1%
66.7%
P3
55.4%
51.9%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | OT | 04:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |