Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 63.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Kopitar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kopitar
Karlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Kopitar
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
56.3% (739)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
58.6% (181)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
47.2% (53)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Karlsson
Home
56.1% (786)
56.5% (462)
Away
54.0% (774)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Kopitar
Karlsson
P1
56.2%
57.1%
P2
55.4%
55.2%
P3
53.0%
56.7%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |