Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.3%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kopitar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Kopitar
Karlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Kopitar
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
6
Kopitar
Karlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
55.3% (897)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
61.1% (113)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
50.8% (132)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (783)
58.6% (560)
Away
55.5% (825)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Kopitar
Karlsson
P1
57.9%
55.8%
P2
54.5%
55.6%
P3
55.2%
55.7%
OT
57.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |