Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 58.1%). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kopitar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
58.6% (597)
-1.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
57.9% (57)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
51.9% (52)
-8.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Karlsson
Home
58.4% (774)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.0% (763)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kopitar
Karlsson
P1
59.4%
53.1%
P2
56.8%
62.1%
P3
55.9%
60.1%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |