Auston Matthews vs Barrett Hayton
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Hayton 49.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 62.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Matthews
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Matthews
Hayton
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
3
Matthews
Hayton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Hayton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
3
Matthews
Hayton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
50.3% (318)
+3.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.7% (67)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
42.4% (33)
-0.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hayton
Home
56.5% (703)
47.4% (171)
Away
50.0% (616)
51.4% (247)
By Period
Matthews
Hayton
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
54.0%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
49.0%
OT
57.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |