Auston Matthews vs Barrett Hayton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Hayton 51.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 77.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 73.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Matthews
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Matthews
Hayton
Last 10: Matthews 2-8 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
11
Matthews
Hayton
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
3
Matthews
Hayton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
Hayton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.8% (3,479)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
56.7% (594)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
45.2% (374)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hayton
Home
56.3% (5,065)
52.9% (2,268)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
49.4% (2,179)
By Period
Matthews
Hayton
P1
55.5%
52.0%
P2
53.3%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
49.9%
OT
56.6%
58.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |