Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Point 46.2% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 79.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Matthews
Point
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Matthews
Point
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
5
Matthews
Point
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
2
Matthews
Point
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
10
4
Matthews
Point
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Point
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
45.9% (582)
+7.5%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
45.6% (57)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
20.0% (5)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Matthews
Point
Home
56.5% (703)
45.8% (286)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.5% (358)
By Period
Matthews
Point
P1
52.1%
45.9%
P2
54.0%
48.8%
P3
54.0%
40.6%
OT
57.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |