Auston Matthews vs Brayden Point
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 26 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Point 48.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 48-47 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 64.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Matthews
Point
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
47
(95 meetings)
48
47
Matthews
Point
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
16
15
Matthews
Point
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
11
15
Matthews
Point
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
21
17
Matthews
Point
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Point
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.3% (6,183)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
53.9% (1,043)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
38.5% (247)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Home / Away
Matthews
Point
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.1% (3,733)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.5% (3,740)
By Period
Matthews
Point
P1
55.5%
46.8%
P2
53.3%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
48.0%
OT
56.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |