Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Coyle 46.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 86.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Matthews
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Coyle
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
46.3% (603)
+6.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.9% (55)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
34.1% (44)
+3.4%
On even strength, Matthews has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Matthews is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Matthews shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Matthews
Coyle
Home
54.3% (420)
45.6% (373)
Away
50.3% (491)
46.2% (329)
By Period
Matthews
Coyle
P1
54.2%
45.9%
P2
54.3%
46.4%
P3
47.8%
45.5%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |