Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.6%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Coyle 52.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 63.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Matthews
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Matthews
Coyle
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
0
Matthews
Coyle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Matthews
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Matthews
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
52.7% (849)
+0.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
66.7% (39)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
48.1% (131)
+26.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Matthews
Coyle
Home
54.8% (515)
53.3% (512)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Matthews
Coyle
P1
54.4%
53.8%
P2
50.4%
47.8%
P3
51.8%
56.7%
OT
75.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |