Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Coyle 49.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Matthews
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Matthews
Coyle
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Coyle
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
50.6% (921)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
51.0% (96)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
30.1% (83)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Matthews
Coyle
Home
60.7% (572)
51.8% (517)
Away
52.4% (657)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Matthews
Coyle
P1
60.3%
49.2%
P2
55.6%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
44.8%
OT
45.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |