Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Tierney 47.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Matthews
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Matthews
Tierney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
46.6% (193)
+6.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
66.7% (3)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
47.5% (40)
+27.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tierney
Home
54.8% (515)
47.9% (121)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Matthews
Tierney
P1
54.4%
44.1%
P2
50.4%
50.0%
P3
51.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |