Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Tierney 54.8% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 55.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Matthews
Tierney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
57.0% (179)
-3.6%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
0.0% (1)
+65.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
64.3% (14)
-22.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Matthews
Tierney
Home
56.5% (703)
62.3% (77)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.8% (117)
By Period
Matthews
Tierney
P1
52.1%
61.1%
P2
54.0%
60.0%
P3
54.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
54.6%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%