Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Giroux 58.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Matthews
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Matthews
Giroux
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
8
Matthews
Giroux
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Matthews
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
58.6% (787)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
59.3% (194)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
61.3% (142)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. Giroux is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Matthews
Giroux
Home
57.0% (440)
61.3% (568)
Away
53.1% (480)
56.8% (555)
By Period
Matthews
Giroux
P1
54.0%
59.6%
P2
55.1%
58.9%
P3
56.4%
58.5%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 04:22 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |