Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Giroux 59.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 74.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 65.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Matthews
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Matthews
Giroux
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
0
Matthews
Giroux
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
7
Matthews
Giroux
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
57.7% (821)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
65.5% (235)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
65.6% (160)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Matthews
Giroux
Home
60.7% (572)
62.5% (675)
Away
52.4% (657)
57.5% (541)
By Period
Matthews
Giroux
P1
60.3%
60.6%
P2
55.6%
59.8%
P3
53.3%
60.9%
OT
45.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
64.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |