Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Giroux 57.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 67.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Matthews
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Matthews
Giroux
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Giroux
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
3
Matthews
Giroux
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Giroux
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
55.5% (661)
-2.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
65.5% (194)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
58.6% (297)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Matthews
Giroux
Home
56.5% (703)
59.0% (576)
Away
50.0% (616)
56.9% (576)
By Period
Matthews
Giroux
P1
52.1%
57.0%
P2
54.0%
58.1%
P3
54.0%
58.9%
OT
57.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |