Auston Matthews vs Elias Lindholm
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings). Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Lindholm 54.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Matthews
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
Matthews
Lindholm
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
16
Matthews
Lindholm
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
2
Matthews
Lindholm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
54.9% (937)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
60.4% (265)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
49.4% (172)
+1.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lindholm
Home
59.1% (528)
54.4% (688)
Away
55.1% (695)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Matthews
Lindholm
P1
56.2%
57.2%
P2
58.1%
54.3%
P3
56.4%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |