Auston Matthews vs Elias Lindholm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.7%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 62 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.7% vs Lindholm 53.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 92-83 in 175 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Matthews
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
83
-
92
(175 meetings)
83
92
Matthews
Lindholm
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
26
36
Matthews
Lindholm
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
20
31
Matthews
Lindholm
51 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
37
25
Matthews
Lindholm
62 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (9,165)
53.7% (8,338)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.5% (528)
59.2% (1,683)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (466)
48.1% (1,588)
+1.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,654).
Matthews shoots left. Lindholm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (8,933).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lindholm
Home
56.3% (5,020)
54.0% (5,833)
Away
51.2% (5,139)
53.5% (5,776)
By Period
Matthews
Lindholm
P1
55.2%
53.9%
P2
53.3%
54.4%
P3
52.6%
52.9%
OT
56.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.7%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |