Auston Matthews vs Elias Lindholm
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Lindholm 54.8% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 50.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Matthews
Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
54.4% (722)
+5.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
62.2% (164)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
49.4% (83)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lindholm
Home
60.0% (520)
55.8% (541)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Matthews
Lindholm
P1
60.2%
54.8%
P2
58.2%
55.7%
P3
60.4%
55.6%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%