Auston Matthews vs Evan Rodrigues
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Rodrigues 47.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 78.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 76.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Matthews
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Rodrigues
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
2
Matthews
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Matthews
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
47.2% (318)
+9.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
52.4% (42)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
42.3% (26)
+7.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rodrigues
Home
60.7% (572)
49.8% (215)
Away
52.4% (657)
44.4% (171)
By Period
Matthews
Rodrigues
P1
60.3%
44.2%
P2
55.6%
53.5%
P3
53.3%
44.6%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |