Auston Matthews vs Evan Rodrigues
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 89.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 73.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Matthews
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Rodrigues
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
45.6% (250)
+12.7%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
40.0% (30)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
50.0% (2)
+0.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rodrigues
Home
59.1% (528)
46.5% (142)
Away
55.1% (695)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Matthews
Rodrigues
P1
56.2%
42.9%
P2
58.1%
50.0%
P3
56.4%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |