Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Drury 54.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 54.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 55.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Matthews
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Matthews
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.7% (590)
-1.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
54.7% (53)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
71.4% (21)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Matthews
Drury
Home
56.5% (703)
56.7% (358)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.6% (306)
By Period
Matthews
Drury
P1
52.1%
57.3%
P2
54.0%
57.6%
P3
54.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |