Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Drury 56.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 50.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 55.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Matthews
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
57.9% (592)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
67.4% (46)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
52.8% (108)
-2.1%
On power play, Drury has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Matthews
Drury
Home
59.1% (528)
59.3% (364)
Away
55.1% (695)
56.3% (382)
By Period
Matthews
Drury
P1
56.2%
53.9%
P2
58.1%
60.5%
P3
56.4%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |