Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kulich on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kulich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Kulich 46.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Kulich leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kulich 59.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kulich 53.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Matthews
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Matthews
Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
2
Matthews
Kulich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
4
Matthews
Kulich
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
45.4% (513)
+12.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
53.1% (32)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
30.8% (13)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kulich
Home
59.1% (528)
46.8% (267)
Away
55.1% (695)
44.3% (291)
By Period
Matthews
Kulich
P1
56.2%
45.6%
P2
58.1%
48.0%
P3
56.4%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |