Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kulich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Kulich 44.9% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 90.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 87.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Matthews
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Matthews
Kulich
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kulich
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
0
1
Matthews
Kulich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
2
Matthews
Kulich
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
42.9% (147)
+16.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
33.3% (15)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Kulich is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kulich
Home
60.0% (520)
43.9% (98)
Away
59.3% (452)
38.5% (65)
By Period
Matthews
Kulich
P1
60.2%
53.1%
P2
58.2%
40.4%
P3
60.4%
33.9%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |