Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kulich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Kulich 45.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 72.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 76.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Matthews
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Matthews
Kulich
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Kulich
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
3
Matthews
Kulich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
11
6
Matthews
Kulich
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
44.8% (661)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
46.8% (47)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
28.6% (14)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Kulich is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kulich
Home
56.3% (5,065)
46.0% (365)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
43.1% (357)
By Period
Matthews
Kulich
P1
55.5%
47.0%
P2
53.3%
46.3%
P3
52.8%
40.8%
OT
56.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |