Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Rooney 45.9% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 55.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Matthews
Rooney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
42.2% (102)
+10.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
0.0% (2)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Rooney is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rooney
Home
54.8% (515)
42.0% (69)
Away
50.2% (534)
41.7% (36)
By Period
Matthews
Rooney
P1
54.4%
35.7%
P2
50.4%
48.4%
P3
51.8%
43.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
52.4%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.9%