Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Rooney 47.7% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 73.3%
Defensive zone
Rooney 68.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Matthews
Rooney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
48.1% (181)
+5.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
66.7% (6)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
28.6% (21)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rooney
Home
56.5% (703)
49.1% (112)
Away
50.0% (616)
43.8% (96)
By Period
Matthews
Rooney
P1
52.1%
40.0%
P2
54.0%
53.4%
P3
54.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%