Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.7% vs Okposo 48.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Okposo leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Okposo 78.8%
Defensive zone
Okposo 65.6%
Neutral zone
Okposo 68.6%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Matthews
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Matthews
Okposo
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
3
Matthews
Okposo
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
2
Matthews
Okposo
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
4
Matthews
Okposo
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (9,165)
49.1% (1,513)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.5% (528)
50.1% (391)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (466)
39.7% (151)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,654).
Matthews shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Matthews
Okposo
Home
56.3% (5,020)
50.2% (990)
Away
51.2% (5,139)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Matthews
Okposo
P1
55.2%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.6%
P3
52.6%
47.3%
OT
56.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.7%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |