Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Okposo 47.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 71.8%
Defensive zone
Okposo 88.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 77.4%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Matthews
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Matthews
Okposo
Last 7: Matthews 1-6 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
1
Matthews
Okposo
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
2
Matthews
Okposo
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
3
Matthews
Okposo
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.6% (276)
+4.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
46.4% (28)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
37.0% (46)
+38.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Matthews
Okposo
Home
54.8% (515)
47.4% (156)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.4% (194)
By Period
Matthews
Okposo
P1
54.4%
45.8%
P2
50.4%
50.3%
P3
51.8%
41.4%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |