Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Okposo 49.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 81.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 76.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Matthews
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Okposo
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Okposo
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
46.5% (101)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
58.1% (43)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
48.8% (41)
+1.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Okposo is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Matthews
Okposo
Home
60.7% (572)
54.4% (79)
Away
52.4% (657)
46.2% (106)
By Period
Matthews
Okposo
P1
60.3%
51.0%
P2
55.6%
47.8%
P3
53.3%
52.3%
OT
45.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |